Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.014983 0.017438 0.020151 0.023367 0.027075 0.031212 0.036178
2025-12-21 0.011100 0.014208 0.017962 0.022819 0.028927 0.036345 0.046030
2025-12-28 0.009188 0.012762 0.017419 0.023909 0.032693 0.044147 0.060188
2026-01-04 0.007638 0.011404 0.016650 0.024451 0.035713 0.051327 0.074561
2026-01-11 0.006146 0.009798 0.015204 0.023727 0.036759 0.055849 0.085828
2026-01-18 0.005134 0.008686 0.014240 0.023471 0.038332 0.061194 0.098859
2026-01-25 0.004270 0.007635 0.013168 0.022825 0.039125 0.065352 0.110494
2026-02-01 0.003618 0.006811 0.012313 0.022359 0.040073 0.069772 0.122978
2026-02-08 0.003123 0.006169 0.011654 0.022095 0.041269 0.074664 0.136742
2026-02-15 0.002671 0.005524 0.010882 0.021498 0.041757 0.078335 0.148744
2026-02-22 0.002470 0.005328 0.010903 0.022356 0.044984 0.087189 0.171013
2026-03-01 0.002196 0.004936 0.010486 0.022298 0.046444 0.092926 0.188106
2026-03-08 0.001882 0.004414 0.009746 0.021517 0.046432 0.095977 0.200642
2026-03-15 0.001662 0.004062 0.009305 0.021291 0.047517 0.101296 0.218303
2026-03-22 0.001581 0.004011 0.009503 0.022460 0.051678 0.113284 0.250939
2026-03-29 0.001464 0.003856 0.009444 0.023049 0.054654 0.123145 0.280250
2026-04-05 0.001281 0.003504 0.008882 0.022403 0.054781 0.126939 0.296935
2026-04-12 0.001147 0.003255 0.008522 0.022180 0.055843 0.132880 0.319013
2026-04-19 0.001009 0.002971 0.008037 0.021577 0.055920 0.136602 0.336461
2026-04-26 0.000897 0.002738 0.007642 0.021140 0.056337 0.141138 0.356294
2026-05-03 0.000808 0.002550 0.007337 0.020893 0.057189 0.146778 0.379355
2026-05-10 0.000716 0.002339 0.006936 0.020328 0.057148 0.150246 0.397500
2026-05-17 0.000685 0.002308 0.007032 0.021142 0.060847 0.163386 0.441217